Probabilistic calibration of a coupled hydro-mechanical slope stability model with integration of multiple observations     

Lulu Zhang  Fang Wu  Yafei Zheng  Lihong Chen  Jie Zhang  Xu Li 《Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards》2018,12(3):169-182

Multiple types of responses, such as displacements, ground water level, pore water pressures, water contents, etc., are usually measured in comprehensive monitoring programmes for rainfall-induced landslide prevention. In this study, a probabilistic calibration method for coupled hydro-mechanical modelling of slope stability is presented with integration of multiple types of measurements. A numerical example of a soil slope under rainfall infiltration is illustrated to compare the effects of single and multiple types of responses on parameter estimation and model calibration. The results show that the soil parameters can be estimated with less uncertainty and total uncertainty bounds are narrower with multiple types of responses than with a single type of response. Model calibration based on multiple types of responses can compromise different responses and hence the means and standard deviations of model error are the smallest. A feasible correlation coefficient between soil modulus and permeability can be obtained from model calibration with multiple types of responses and single type of response as long as the responses include displacement data.  相似文献   

Calibration of cyclic constitutive models by oscillating functions     

Muyiwa Ebenezer Alalade  Binod Kafle  Frank Wuttke  Tom Lahmer 《Geomechanics and Geoengineering》2018,13(2):146-157

Most structures are subjected to more cyclic loads during their life time than static loads. These cyclic action could be a result of either natural or man-made activities and may lead to soil failure. In order to understand the response of the foundation and its interaction with these complex cyclic loadings, various researchers have over the years developed different constitutive models. Although a lot of research is being carried out on these relatively new models, little or no details exist in literature about the model-based identification of the cyclic constitutive parameters which to a large extent govern the quality of the model output. This could be attributed to the difficulties and complexities of the inverse modeling of such complex phenomena. A variety of optimisation strategies are available for the solution of the sum of least-squares problems as usually done in the field of model calibration. However, for the back analysis (calibration) of the soil response to oscillatory load functions, this article gives insight into the model calibration challenges and also puts forward a method for the inverse modeling of cyclic loaded foundation response such that high-quality solutions are obtained with minimum computational effort.  相似文献   

WOFOST模型对河南省冬小麦模拟的适用性分析          下载免费PDF全文

张弘  刘伟昌  李树岩 《气象与环境科学》2019,42(1):34-40

为进一步研究WOFOST模型在河南省冬麦区的适用性,以河南省30个农业气象观测站1991—2014年冬小麦观测资料、历史气象资料和土壤资料为依据,对WOFOST模型进行逐站调参和验证,分别建立了30个站的冬小麦模型参数。其中1991—2010年为模型调参年份,2011—2014年为模型验证年份。各站开花期和成熟期调参模拟的归一化均方根误差NRMSE分别小于5%和3%,验证误差分别为3.7%和2.9%。除潢川和固始外,模型对其余各站产量模拟的归一化均方根误差NRMSE全省各站均小于20.0%,验证误差全省平均为15.2%,大部分站点观测值和模拟值相关系数r通过了显著检验。利用调参后的模型模拟2011—2014年冬小麦生长动态变化可知,模拟地上部总干物重与实测单株干物重、模拟LAI与单株叶面积有较一致的变化趋势,拟合度较高。因此,WOFOST模型对河南省冬小麦主要发育阶段、产量及干物质积累模拟能力较强,具有良好的应用前景。  相似文献   

Automated Extraction of a Five‐Year LA‐ICP‐MS Trace Element Data Set of Ten Common Glass and Carbonate Reference Materials: Long‐Term Data Quality,Optimisation and Laser Cell Homogeneity          下载免费PDF全文

David Evans  Wolfgang Müller 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》2018,42(2):159-188

LA‐ICP‐MS is increasingly applied to obtain quantitative multi‐element data with minimal sample preparation, usually achieved by calibration using reference materials (RMs). However, some ubiquitous RMs, for example the NIST SRM 61× series glasses, suffer from reported value uncertainties for certain elements. Moreover, no long‐term data set of analyses conducted over a range of ablation and tuning conditions exists. Thus, there has been little rigorous examination of the extent to which offsets between measured and reported values are the result of error in these values rather than analytically induced fractionation. We present new software (‘LA‐MINE’), capable of extracting LA‐ICP‐MS data with no user input, and apply this to our system, yielding over 5 years of data (~ 5700 analyses of ten glass and carbonate RMs). We examine the relative importance of systematic analytical bias and possible error in reported values through a mass‐specific breakdown of fourteen of the most commonly determined elements. Furthermore, these data, obtained under a wide range of different ablation conditions, enable specific recommendations of how data quality may be improved, for example the role of diatomic gas, the effect of differential inter‐glass fractionation factors and choice of transport tubing material. Finally, these data demonstrate that the two‐volume Laurin ablation cell is characterised by no discernible spatial heterogeneity in measured trace element ratios.  相似文献   

新疆及邻区体波震级初步分析研究          下载免费PDF全文

冉慧敏  李文倩  上官文明 《中国地震》2022,38(1):91-101

依据《地震震级的规定（GB 17740—2017）》,分析了2009—2017年新疆地震台网所记录的新疆及邻区476次中深源地震事件,测定了13601个m_b（短周期体波震级）和12035个m_B（BB）（宽频带体波震级）的数据样本,回归分析m_b和m_B（BB）得到回归方程及量规函数,结果显示m_b和m_B（BB）相关系数为0.966,表明两者显著相关。因此,建议对于中强型中深源地震可以直接从原始速度型宽频带数字地震记录上测定长周期体波震级m_B（BB）,提高地震速报测定的速度和精度。通过震级偏差统计和台站场地响应计算,分析新疆地震台网中的XKR、HTA、ATS和KSZ等地震台站震级偏差较大的原因为砂岩、灰岩、砂土层等类型的台基放大了场地响应,说明台基类型对体波震级偏差的影响较大。与NEIC测定的体波震级对比时,发现新疆地震台网测定体波震级平均偏大0.42级,且偏差随着震源深度的增加有增大的趋势。  相似文献   

Advances and limitations in establishing a contiguous high-resolution atmospheric radiocarbon record derived from subfossil kauri tree rings for the interval 60–27 cal kyr BP     

《Quaternary Geochronology》2022

Radiocarbon dating is the most widely applied and reliable dating technique for providing chronological control during Marine Isotope Stage 3 (MIS3; ∼60–27 cal kyr BP). Past variations in the atmospheric concentration of radiocarbon mean a calibration curve is required. IntCal20 and SHCal20 calibration curves covering MIS3 are presently largely based on non-atmospheric records which, in combination with larger radiocarbon (¹⁴C) dating uncertainties, results in significant smoothing and reduced resolution in calibration curve structure. Floating tree ring radiocarbon chronologies that are wiggle-matched to other palaeo records (particularly to Hulu Cave speleothems) have the potential to provide detailed structure to the MIS3 portion of extant calibration curves. New Zealand subfossil kauri (Agathis australis) trees are long-lived and are useful for constructing temporally-floating MIS3 atmospheric radiocarbon datasets. This paper presents extant and emerging data from several important Northland subfossil kauri locations (Omaha, Babylon Coast, Bream Bay, Kai Iwi Lakes, Mangawhai). We show the span of seven floating MIS3 kauri sequences (individual trees and chronologies) from which sequential radiocarbon series covering a total of 7556 years is now in development (representing 23% of the period 60–27 cal kyr BP). We also report radiocarbon dates for an additional 34 ancient kauri from MIS3 that can provide additional coverage. After these floating subfossil wood sequences have been produced, close to 40% of MIS3 (12,420 years) will be covered by contiguous subfossil kauri radiocarbon measurements. Based on our findings, we discuss the prospects and limitations for obtaining a highly resolved and precise atmospheric radiocarbon calibration curve comprehensively covering MIS3 using subfossil kauri.  相似文献   

气象卫星接收天线标校技术及应用     

张作君  王健  张小雪  吕明佳  杨蕾 《气象科技》2019,47(3):380-385

在过去的几十年中,我国气象事业的不断发展,中国风云气象卫星完成了从试验应用型向业务服务性的不断转型,因此对于卫星信号接收天线的可靠性和指向精度要求越来越高。目前用于接收风云系列极轨气象卫星下行信号的天线主要有12m和4.2m天线,其具有动态特性高、波束宽度窄等特点,因此需要在天线安装和运行期间对天线的轴系误差进行精确的标定和校准。本文在传统标校方法的基础上,提出了利用太阳进行的误差标校技术,进一步降低了标校环节的复杂程度,提高了标校精度。  相似文献   

Calibration of Infrared Absorption Coefficients for Structural Hydroxyl in Garnet by a Combined Study of Isotope Ratio Spectrometry and Vibrational Spectroscopy     

Lin Zhu  Ren-Xu Chen  Yong-Fei Zheng  Jing Wang  Bing Gong 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》2023,47(1):105-124

An accurate determination of water content in garnet is critical to quantify the transport of water to the deep mantle by the subducted oceanic crust beyond the breakdown of hydrous phases. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) is the most widely used approach to determine the species and contents of water in garnet. Accurate quantification of OH in garnet requires independent calibration using an external method, as OH absorbance is mineral and composition specific. To obtain the infrared absorption coefficients of structural hydroxyl in garnet, a combined study of spectrometric analyses by FTIR and a method combining a thermal conversion elemental analyser with isotope ratio mass spectrometry (TC/EA-MS) was carried out for fourteen gem-quality natural garnet crystals with variable compositions. The obtained molar absorption coefficients were 9322 ± 338 and 240 ± 26 l mol⁻¹ cm⁻² for grossular- and spessartine-rich garnet and pyrope-almandine garnet, respectively. These results are within the range of previous studies. A new molar absorption coefficient of 689 ± 177 l mol⁻¹ cm⁻² was obtained for pyrope-spessartine garnet. The large variation in the absorption coefficient indicates it is controlled by both garnet composition and OH-absorption bands. The obtained absorption coefficients are only appropriate for certain types of eclogitic garnet, and more studies should be carried out on eclogitic garnets.  相似文献   

便携式消费级无人机相机标定有效性评估   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李冀  熊晶  熊保颂  吴星宇  张朝阳  李雪 《测绘通报》2021,(4):131-135

本文针对近年来在各行业中广泛使用的便携式消费级无人机开展了相机标定有效性研究,分别通过室内标定场和后处理软件对相机进行标定和自标定,在对比无相机标定、飞前相机标定、飞后相机标定和自标定迭代校正等方法所得成图精度后,对不同相机标定方案的有效性进行了评估。结果表明：各种方案成图总体精度差别不大;飞前、飞后相机标定与无相机标定的成图精度相当;自标定迭代校正的成图精度略高于其他方案。可见采用航拍照片自标定参数迭代校正的方法更适合于飞行控制精度和成像系统稳定性都不高的便携式消费级无人机相机标定。  相似文献   

基于计算机视觉的相机标定方法     

景国峰 《北京测绘》2021,35(1):122-125

随着航空摄影测量及倾斜摄影技术的不断推广,其相机传感器受内在及外在因素的影响,使得相机畸变参数的准确性并不是稳定如一,因而极大限制了数据处理的效率。针对这一问题,本文以解决相机畸变参数的准确性作为出发点,从相机成像原理出发,分析相机成像中的误差,介绍相机标定的方法,对相机标定进行实验分析,以达到准确标定相机参数的目的,并将计算的畸变参数应用于实际项目的空中三角测量。试验结果表明,获取的畸变参数可提高空三的效率及稳定性。  相似文献